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Storm threat shifts east of Finger Lakes

A cold front is slowly pushing southeast, but it will take a couple of days to clear the area. This can result in a tricky forecast, with some major differences in the forecast over short areas.For areas roughly west of a Geneva-Bath line, today should not be too terrible. Temperatures should be cooler than yesterday, and the humidity will be less, too. A small disturbance riding along the front will bring some showers in the morning, but conditions will not be overly favorable for thunderstorms this afternoon, leaving the rest of the day fairly dry.Head a bit further east though, and the story is completely different. The aforementioned disturbance is tracking northeast, and any showers should move towards Lake Ontario and not make it further east. The result will be more morning sun, warmer temperatures and an atmosphere more conducive to thunderstorms. In fact, current model guidance suggests two rounds of thunderstorm development- one in the early afternoon and then again in the late afternoon and evening hours.There is some potential for severe weather with these storms, but the overall threat is classified as low. A couple storms may have strong winds or hail, but a more widespread threat is unlikely. As always though, lightning makes any thunderstorm dangerous, and even moderately strong winds can be damaging.The chances for thunderstorms and severe weather increases further east between Binghamton and Albany. Keep an eye to the sky and local weather alerts if your travels take you east today.

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