It’s going to be a dry day on Wednesday, but the rain will return on Thursday.
It won’t just be rain, though. Winds will also be gusty on Thursday, as the region is hit with another round of heavy rain. Some scattered thunder is even possible.
According to FLX Weather Meteorologist Drew Montreuil, “Wednesday will be a much needed break between strong storm systems. Dry conditions, light winds, and some sunshine will give the region at least a little time to dry before the next round moves in.”
Thursday forecast from Montreuil’s Wednesday update:
“Rain will increase in coverage after midnight and during Thursday morning as low pressure tracks towards the area from the Southeast. A few rumbles of thunder are possible Thursday morning as the precipitation moves in.
Widespread, occasionally heavy rain will set up by Thursday afternoon as low pressure tracks into Central New York. With the soil quite saturated from the recent rains, any heavier downpours could quickly lead to localized flooding issues, especially along small streams and in poor drainage areas.
Precipitation should spin west of the Finger Lakes for a time Thursday evening as the low tracks northwest towards Lake Ontario.
Steadier, but lighter precipitation will sweep back in for Friday on the backside of the low. Some of this may fall as snow, but accumulations will likely be limited to a couple of inches over the higher elevations with a coating at lower elevations. Precipitation will taper off Friday night and should be out of the region by Saturday morning.
In all, precipitation amounts over an inch are very likely and there is a possibility for widespread amounts of 2-3 inches. In addition to the flash flooding risk, area rivers and lakes may rise above flood stage.
With low pressure tracking very close to the Finger Lakes, the wind will kick up once again as well. Unlike Tuesday, when the strongest winds were further west, this time it will be the eastern Finger Lakes that sees the strongest winds.
The wind will be strongest in the hours before and after dawn on Thursday, with some gusts of 40-50 mph possible.”