FLX Weather Meteorologist Drew Montreuil says the first half of this week will be quiet, and cool, but changes are on the way.
– By Wednesday temperatures will be moving through the 40s and into the low-50s. Those temperatures will continue on Thursday with high-temps pushing into the mid-50s for the Finger Lakes.
– Rain enters the picture by late-week, which will transition into snowfall, but the changing cold will be short-lived as a major pattern change is on the horizon.
– Montreuil said on Monday that “the European Ensembles show consistently above normal temperatures through the end of February. In fact, if you average the daily maximum temperature overall 51 ensemble members, only two of the next 15 days have temperatures below 32 degrees — today and Tuesday.”
– He says that snow will be hard to come by over the next several weeks with the trend that’s setting up. He added, “Temperatures appear to be near or above normal each week through the end of March. By the end of March, the average high in the Finger Lakes is in the 40s, so anything warmer than that will certainly start to feel spring like.”
*** PLANNING FORECAST FROM THE NWS ***
Partly sunny, with a high near 31. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 49.
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
A chance of rain and snow showers before 1pm, then a chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
A chance of snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
A chance of flurries. Mostly sunny, with a high near 45.
— Chuck Little (@NastyShotSP) February 11, 2018
Most precipitation associated with the cold front will be in the form of rain showers this evening, but an icy mix may fall briefly, then some flakes as temperatures fall. pic.twitter.com/vly2jzzvhA
— Stacey Pensgen (@spensgen) February 12, 2018
— Mark McLean (@Wxandgardenguy) February 11, 2018
Some light showers are returning to WNY just ahead of a cold front. Temperatures are well above freezing, so most of this will just be rain. Light freezing rain is possible later this evening once temps begin to fall again. pic.twitter.com/CDcN1MIgD9
— Stacey Pensgen (@spensgen) February 11, 2018